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18 august 2013 11:43 am why a house price crash would be excellent news a cracking article today by faisal islam, economics editor of channel 4 news, explaining the madness that is britain's housing market. the saga of the british house is the tale of just about everything that is wrong with this country, and it is clear that unless something dramatic happens fast then things are going to get a whole lot worse. as islam says, our 'housing market' is not really a market in houses at all, but a market in debt. we are borrowing from the future to fuel this insane property boom, and sooner or later the future is going to want its money back. several things happened more or less at once (well, over a period of 30 years or so) to let this happen, including the conversion of the old building societies into investment banks, the sell-off of state housing, the deregulation of the mortgage market and the influx of hyper-wealthy foreigners into london. the larger (in numbers) influx of mostly young non-wealthy immigrants into the uk in the last ten years has probably contributed something - maybe 5% - to housing prices, but is the availability of debt (can we stop calling it 'credit' please) that is really making things so bad that in a few years no one with an ordinary salaried job will be able to buy a family home within m25. say it all went horribly 'wrong', and we had the sort of property crash that gives middle england nightmares (but shouldn't). say house prices fell by, say, 70% and stayed at that level for some decades, crawling up only with inflation and reflecting true increases in demand. say houses cost about as much, in relation to incomes, as they did in 1970. what would happen then? well, a lot of young people would be insanely grateful as they could afford to get on the property ladder if they wished. people like teachers and doctors could afford to buy a house in london or central edinburgh. imagine it ... real, actual professionals living in places like chelsea! there will be fewer potential tenants and so rents will fall too. existing homeowners will find themselves with negative equity but - and everyone forgets this - unless they find themselves unable to meet their mortgage payments this will not matter in the short term. and this pain will only affect one generation of homeowners, those unlucky enough to have bought at a time (and in parts of britain) where house prices have become totally unsustainable. a falling, or even static, housing market benefits many and hurts few. it makes it easier to move and hence loosens up the labour market. if houses are homes rather than surrogate pensions it will encourage people to invest in their futures, as the germans always have. falling house prices penalise those hoping to trade down or move to spain and cash in, but help young singletons, young marrieds, growing families and people moving with their jobs - nearly everynoe else in other words. some mad suggestions. make it illegal to lend more than three times salary. do something radical about housing benefit, which is no more than a racket in which taxpayers money is diverted to private landlords. build thousands of council houses in the inner cities. revive high-rise living, but do it properly this time. ban interest-only mortgages. tax buy-to-let. and scrap the help-to-buy scheme, the stupidest government policy in a generation. yes it will hurt, but unless we do something where on earth are our children going to live? august 18, 2013 | permalink | comments (6) share this article: facebook twitter google+ messenger linkedin digg it newsvine fark nowpublic reddit 13 august 2013 1:49 pm the hyperloop sounds mad, but don't bet against the iron man elon musk, he of paypal, the tesla electric car and the spacex rocket company is not someone i would bet against. a true genius and visionary, in many ways his visions hark back to those of the great victorian inventors and engineers, the brunels and the bells, the wrights and the marconis, rather than the electro-geeks of the internet age. now musk has unveiled his long-awaited plans for a hyperloop, a supersonic transport system designed to link cities (like la and san francisco that are more than a few hundred miles apart, but less than several thousand). the hyperloop is, in essence, a massively scaled-up, turbocharged version of the pressurised-air cannister systems that are used to whisk money and documents through office buildings. passengers, either on foot or in a car, will enter pods that will in turn be fed into tubes suspened a few tens of feet above the ground, and these pods will then be accelerated by a mixture of air prossure and mangetic fields to the required speed, before being brought to a gentle halt the other end. a hyperloop would cut the journey time between the two californian cities to just 30 minutes, compared to the 80 minutes it currently takes by plane or the six hours by car. the idea is not entirely new. people have had the idea of whizzing people around in vacuum tunnels for decades. but no one has managed to make the engneerig - and the money - add up. it sounds a bit mad. but the man who is allegedly the inspiration for the iron man movie character has a habit of getting things done. i know that in the space industry his explots are taken versy seriously indeed, his electric cars are the most plausible of the genre to date, and something really needs to be done about mass transport, which is stuck firmly in a 20th century mindset. using planes to travel less than 1000 miles makes little sense these days. whether they can fly at 200mph, 400mph or 600mph makes little difference as most of your total journey time will be spent on the ground, either making tyour way to an out-of-town airport or crawling through security. to go from, say, your home in pasadena to a meeting in downtown san francisco may well be quicker by car than plane once you take the run to and from the airports plus check in times into account. there are plans for a fast californian railway line, but it is coming in slow and massively over-budget. musk says somethig must be done, and when musk says that it usually is. august 13, 2013 | permalink | comments (2) share this article: facebook twitter google+ messenger linkedin digg it newsvine fark nowpublic reddit 12 august 2013 11:09 am you say gibraltar, i say ceuta: let’s call the whole thing off countries that own bits of land attached to other countries are always going to have some explaining to do, but only, it seems if they are the united kingdom. the odd spat over gibraltar is a reminder than when it comes to the weird world of enclaves and exclaves, the uk is seen by the rest of the world as a special case. madrid has (arguably) more of a case regarding gibraltar than argentina has over the falklands, but that is only to compare 'not a lot' with 'zero'. the rights of indigenous peoples to self-determination dominates the post-imperial mindset but only, of course, if those indigenous peoples do not wish to be british. let's look at some other geographical oddities and see how they work. as everyone knows, or should know, there are two spanish exclaves on the moroccan coast, ceuta and melilla. both are claimed by morocco, and both are, spain insists, as spanish as granada or seville. the history is complex, to say the least, and in some ways portugal has more claim to ceuta than anyone else, but that is a diversion. the big complication is that spain used to be ruled by morrocco, or at least north african arabs, so the name-calling and shoulder-chippery goes both ways. then there's cuba. before 9/11, how many people knew that a sliver of this island, whch has 'full evil' status in the american mindset, was owned by the united states which has operated a military base at guantanamo for decades? one of the most insanely stupid movies ever made, red dawn (1984), posited a cuban invasion of the us. cuba, a country that cannot even rid its own territo

URL analysis for hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk

http://hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk/
http://hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk/2012/07/the-great-diesel-con-exposed.html
http://hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk/2012/09/me-is-probably-a-mental-illness-after-all-but-that-does-not-mean-that-it-is-not-real.html
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http://hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk/2011/08/why-i-dont-want-a-new-car.html
http://hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk/2013/05/why-do-so-many-people-hate-cyclists.html
http://hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk/2013/03/what-on-earth-is-the-point-of-formula-one.html
http://hanlonblog.dailymail.co.uk/2011/10/british-gas-customer-relations-the-dumbest-organisation-in-the-world.html

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